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Real US Economy Trampled by “White Elephants” by Marc Faber

“I would like readers to consider carefully the fundamental difference between a “real economy” and a “financial economy.” In a real economy, the debt and equity markets as a percentage of GDP are small and are principally designed to channel savings into investments.

In a financial economy or “monetary-driven economy,” the capital market is far larger than GDP and channels savings not only into investments, but also continuously into colossal speculative bubbles. This isn’t to say that bubbles don’t occur in the real economy, but they are infrequent and are usually small compared with the size of the economy. So when these bubbles burst, they tend to inflict only limited damage on the economy.”

Via The Daily Reckoning

Categories: Economy, Marc Faber

Marc Faber on Investment Strategies, Government Idiocies, Gold, Safe Havens

“Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report, told Tom Keene and Sara Eisen on “Bloomberg Television” today “there is no safe haven. The best you can hope for is that you have a diversified portfolio of different assets and that they don’t all collapse at the same time.”

On the debt ceiling debate in Washington, Faber said, “It’s basically a dysfunctional government that we have that is far too large that is essentially wasting money left, right and center. The Republicans are wasting money on the military complex and the Democrats are basically buying votes with transfer payments, with entitlement programs, it goes on. It is a huge waste. The problem is that I don’t see a solution.””

Via MISH’S Global Economic Trend Analysis

Marc Faber On Keynesian Folly, The ‘Missing’ Inflation, And Bubble-Blowing

“In as-comprehensive-an-explanation-as-we-have-seen of the monetary malfeasance and misunderstanding of the standard Keynesian central-banker, Gloom-Boom-Doom’s Marc Faber addressed an instutional audience in the Middle East earlier this year. Faber begins by explaining his (correct) view that ‘Keynesian’ intervention into the free-market or capitalistic society (with fiscal and monetary measures), in order to ‘smooth’ the business cycle, has in fact created a more violent business cycle – as they attempt to address long-term structural problems with short-term fixes (or bubbles). His lecture expands from his insight that in 1970 not a single investment bank was public – they were all private partnerships (implicitly playing with their own money as opposed to other-people’s – dramatically impacting the risk profile in the world) to the notion that central bank money printing (pushing dollars out the door) does have inflationary symptoms – but they do not necessarily have to show up in wages or CPI in the US (think Chinese wage inflation, or commodity price rises, or Aussie housing bubbles). Central bankers can determine the quantity of money but they cannot determine what we do with those USD bills. Must watch.”

Via Zero Hedge

Marc Faber: “Bureaucrats in Brussels make US government look like an organization of geniuses”, says Markets Will Crash like 1987 Without QE3

“The quote of the day goes to Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom report. Faber says “I do not have a high opinion of the U.S. government, but the bureaucrats in Brussels make the government in the U.S. look like an organization consisting of geniuses.”

Marc Faber spoke with Bloomberg TV’s Betty Liu also stated “The market will have difficulties to move up strongly unless we have a massive QE3 and if it moves and makes the high above 1422, the second half of the year could witness a crash, like in 1987.””

Via MISH’S Global Economic Trend Analysis

Marc Faber speaks of Imminent Market Crash

Categories: Economy, Marc Faber

Marc Faber Resumes Bloodfeud With Treasurys, Still Sees Entire Financial System Imploding

January 20, 2012 1 comment

“The only thing that is as consistent as Marc Faber’s message to get out of government bonds ahead of a bout of global hyperinflation which will arrive once the vicious cycle of printing to pay interest finally dawns (which in turn would happen once central planners lose control of an artificially created situation, which by definition, always eventually happens), is the passion with which he repeats it over… and over… and over, like a man possessed, if ultimately 100% correct. In an interview with Bloomberg’s Sara Eisen and Erik Schatzker this morning, he does what he does best – cuts to the chase: “if you think it through and you are as bearish as I am, and you think the whole financial system will one day collapse, we don’t know if in 3 years, or 5 years, or 10 years, but one day there will be a reset, and everything will be essentially started anew, then you are better off in equities than in government bonds, because a lot of government bonds will either default or they will have to print so much money that the purchasing power of money will depreciate very rapidly.” When asked if he feels uncomfortable predicting a calamity in bonds again, as he did back 2009, Faber is laconically empathic: “it is true that last year the 30 year bond returned 30%, and i owe David Rosenberg a bottle of whiskey” but analogizes: “from August 1999 to March 2000, the Nasdaq doubled, but at no time in that timeframe was it a good buy. And after it people lost a lot of money. We have now a symptom of monetary inflation and this is record corporate profits, and the second symptoms is essentially a bubble in high quality bonds: people seem so insecure and so much worried, they would rather be in a US bond with no yield, than in bonds that may not repay me, or in equities that may drop 30%. But it does not make them a good buy longer term.” Yep: only Faber can get away with calling the bond market the second coming of the Nasdaq bubble and look cool doing it.”

Via Zero Hedge

Doctor Doom Warns: “World War III Will Occur In the Next Five Years”

“Well known economist, trend forecaster and Gloom, Boom and Doom Report publisher Dr. Marc Faber joined some of the world’s leading investment minds at the Barron’s 2012 Roundtable to discuss what’s in store for 2012 and beyond with respect to the economy, inflation, political stability and a host of other issues.

As is generally the case, Dr. Faber doesn’t mince words and warns that, despite what happens in the near term, the end game is global conflict.”

Via SHTF Plan

Faber’s Latest Rant On Global Monetization Wars

“There is a little for everyone in Marc Faber’s latest appearance on CNBC. The infamous boomer (and doomer) believes (as we do) that today’s downgrades are less significant for stocks (at least until the realization that banks and more importantly insurance companies are about to be cut as well – keep a close eye out on Allianz and Generali (of ASSGEN fame) – it is not incidental that they are abbreviated to A&G, just one letter away from our own AIG) as it is largely priced in but the equity market’s rally of the last few weeks (with its lack of breadth and volume) is strongly suggestive of a bear-market rally (as opposed to the decoupling bull market that so many hope for). His view quite simply is that the ECB has undergone a backdoor monetization and without this the EUR would be significantly stronger especially given the huge short-interest (though he sees the trend for EUR is down). However, he remains unenthusiastic at the inevitable outcome – suggesting the majority of European nations deserve a CCC rating (which is clearly not priced in) and that the USA should not be AAA (noting that even Germany has huge unfunded liabilities as it writes check after check to save its socialist sorority sisters). “

Via Zero Hedge – video of interview included

Mark Faber: “I Am Convinced The Whole Derivatives Market Will Cease To Exist And Will Go To Zero”

“Anyone seeking joyous holiday greetings and cheerful forecasts for the new year is advised to avoid the following most recent Mark Faber interview, in which in addition to his predictions for 2012 (led with “more printing” by the dodecatupling down central planners, and far less prosperity), we get the following: “I am convinced the whole derivatives market will cease to exit. Will become zero. And when it happens I don’t know: you can postpone the problems with monetary measures for a long time but you can’t solve them… Greece should have defaulted – it would have sent a message that not all derivatives are equal because it depends on the counterparty.””

Via Zero Hedge

Categories: Debt, Economy, Marc Faber

Marc Faber: “I Have A Very Special Stock Tip For You. The Symbol Is G-O-L-D”

“It has been a while since the Marc Faber graced Zero Hedge. It is time to remedy that. Providing his traditional dose of snark, tragedy and realism, the Gloom, Boom and Doom report author spoke to Bloomberg TV, and when asked what his outlook for the euro is, dispensed the following pearl: “I have a very special stock tip for you. The symbol is g-o-l-d. That is what I prefer to hold. Both the euro and the dollar are long-term undesirable currencies, especially given zero interest rates in the U.S. Equities to some extent become like cash because they become a store of value compared to cash at a zero interest-rates. Paintings become a store of value, stamps become a store of value.” Needless to say, this is the kind of response that will get him banned from CNBC for life when Bartiromo breathlessly asks him, “ok, you think the world is ending, so what five stocks would you buy.” As for his latest report, “It’s actually quite gloomy but if you’re very gloomy what do you invest in: Treasuries, Italian bonds or commodities or equities? I happen to think U.S. equities are not terribly expensive, so relatively speaking to other assets, they may for a while actually do quite well.” Considering the ridiculousness of the market over the past two weeks when it has gone up on nothing but lies, Faber just may have a point. “

Via Zero Hedge

Categories: Marc Faber
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